Amvona

Wait! That was our price target and other musings on Memory and storage

price_targetWe were waiting for at least a 7% price jump when we published our article Hard Drives, Floods, Monasteries and Investment Returns on Dec. 2nd , 2011 – good thing we weren’t holding our breath.  We thought the article looked pretty smart, not only because the WDC investment had already returned 30.2% to investors by the time we were able to publish, but also because we had this really crazy $67 dollar price target on the stock (way higher than any other analyst at the time) – we thought people would listen.
  • Read 10526 times
Read more...

Update: How we made investors Money on Cisco

 
lemmings
 
On February 12th, 2011 we published our first article on Cisco Systems entitled "How we lost investors money on Cisco". The title was intended to be a pun for the readers (we weren't selling at a loss), as we quickly pointed out in the article..."We have no intentions of selling; on Monday we'll be buying for their accounts." The stock closed at $18.70 the day before the article was published.

We went on to make impressive sounding arguments about sociology like this artifice:

  • Read 7562 times
Read more...

The Last Judgment

Cross
Notes - February 19th - 2012

The Last Judgment (Cor. 8:8-13; 9:1-2, Matthew 25:31-46)

Meatfare Sunday

  • Read 6627 times
Read more...

The Prime Ministers "One Dollar" bets

one_dollarThe following is a copy of email correspondence we recently had with a friend and in the same spirit as our post "Correspondence with a friend on Investing".

Help was offered after learning of tremendous losses he had suffered in a bad investment.  We decided to publish the correspondence because it reflects the usual questions and fears often heard from investors as well as the answers provided - and because we think it's more efficient to provide representative correspondence once than continue to provide the same answers on an ongoing basis.

Persons names, the origin of the prime minister, and various and sundry details referenced have been either changed or omitted in order to protect their privacy - despite this, we still could not publish all of the related correspondence without revealing identities.

  • Read 26220 times
Read more...

American Greetings Corp. and the Triple “W”

stock_certificatesOn December 22nd, 2011 we began purchasing shares of American Greetings Corp. at $12.91 per share for investors.  To our surprise we were able to get several more large blocks of the shares in extended hours trade yesterday evening (Jan. 4th, 2012) for the same accounts.
 
We’re thrilled that as of the writing of this article, the price has actually gone down even further (explained below).  
  • Read 7917 times
Read more...

Hard Drives, Floods, Monasteries and Investment Returns

Halki
 
The bones of an article
 
On November 16th, 2011 there just wasn’t enough time to do everything – something had to give.  We were packing our bags for our trip to Istanbul, we had to be at the airport by 6:30 p.m., we were making last minute preparations, scribbling out notes for an article on Western Digital and stuffing investors accounts with their shares as fast as we could.  After listening to their Q1 2012 CC call twice [and then STX’s] and having read all of their 10Q’sand annual reports for over a year we were more convinced now than ever that WDC had by far the superior management team, and with a confirmation of full insurance coverage including business continuity (that is to say lost income) after the floods in Thailand, there was no doubt left in what we were doing with investors money.
 
 
Although we only needed the typical hour to knock off the article, it just wasn’t in the cards.   By 2:30 p.m., amidst a flurry of phone calls and emails, we gave up on the idea that the article could be published that day, having scribbled out only the framework of an article.
 
  • Read 10877 times
Read more...

Why we’re still buying Skechers stock

gorun_3On December 22nd, 2010 we published our article “SKX and the markets strange reaction to Sterne Agee”.

In summary we indicated that readers should buy shares of SKX at $16.   At the close of market Friday November 25th, 2011, the shares could be acquired for a mere $12.18 – a decline of some 23.9%.

We were wrong on how the market would price the shares.  However, we do not believe we were wrong regarding the value of the company, despite the markets pricing – so we purchased more shares for investors between $11.86 - $12.77 per share.
  • Read 17459 times
Read more...

Update: General Dynamics Acquires Force Protection

arrogance_2We were going to title this article “We’re so smart”, but we thought that there was at least a small possibility that readers would fail to appreciate the depth of our humility if we did that, so we went with the second most obvious title we could think of.  Besides after SeekingAlpha’s editors picked up our article “Houston, we've got a problem - Bevilacqua” a few weeks ago and exposed it to their 50 million visitors a month by featuring it on “Market Currents”, then selecting it as an “editors pick” once we did finally submit it to on our own, we began to think that our humility may actually not be as secure as we once thought.  

  • Read 7577 times
Read more...

Houston, we've got a problem - Bevilacqua

KranzConsole
 
On Oct. 18th, 2011 the Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court handed down their decision in the FRANCIS J. BEVILACQUA, THIRD vs. PABLO RODRIGUEZ – and in a moment, essentially made foreclosure sales in the commonwealth over the last five years wholly void. However, some of the more polite headlines, undoubtedly in the interest of not causing wide spread panic simply put it "SJC puts foreclosure sales in doubt" or "Buyer Can't Sue After Bad Foreclosure Sale"

In essence, the ruling upheld that those who had purchased foreclosure properties that had been illegally foreclosed upon (which is virtually all foreclosure sales in the last five years), did not in fact have title to those properties.

Given the fact that more than two-thirds of all real estate transactions in the last five years have also been foreclosed properties, this creates a small problem.

  • Read 75600 times
Read more...

Eaton – Dividing the Mortgage Loan and Affirming the Consequent

fallacey_image
Background: A post Ibanez world

In January the Massachusetts supreme judicial court held in US Bank National Association vs. Antonio Ibanez that a note holder may not foreclose on a property in order to redeem a debt, if they are not also the holder of a valid mortgage (that is to say also with a valid assignment). We outlined the details of this case and its implications in our article "Ibanez – Denying the Antecedent, Suppressing the Evidence and one big fat Red Herring" on January 11th, 2011.

  • Read 42827 times
Read more...

Love of Enemies

Cross
 
Notes - October 2nd - 2011

2nd Sunday of Luke (2 Cor. 6:1-10, Luke 6:31-36)

Love of Enemies (Parallel Matt. 5:38-48)

 

  • Read 5642 times
Read more...

Update: Sanderson Farms and Pilgrim's Pride one year later

food-inflationExactly one year ago, on September 28th, 2010 we purchased shares of Sanderson Farms for investors. Two days later we published our opinion on Amvona in our article "Can you say 'Chicken Feet' in Russian? The case of SAFM and PPC". Three days later SeekingAlpha published the article Here.
 
On Oct. 8th, 2010 when the price moved down to $39.10 per share, we more than doubled those positions.

 

We thought we would take a look back at the thesis in that article, now that the period for short term capital gains tax has passed and examine how the issues performed against one another, but also against the benchmark S & P 500 (Alpha).

  • Read 8789 times
Read more...

Correspondence with a friend on Investing

cree_bulbThe following is provided as related material the article "Update: Sanderson Farms and Pilgrim's Pride one year later". It is a copy of email correspondence (with responses inserted into the text) with a friend who had asked for "actionable advice" on a stock. The date was Oct. 21st, 2010. We hope that the correspondence reveals more of the thought that went into the purchase of shares of SAFM for readers of the article above.
  • Read 10663 times
Read more...

Four Fisherman Called

Cross
 
Notes - Sept. 25-2011

1st Sunday of Luke (2 Cor. 4:6-15, Luke 5:1-11)

Four Fisherman Called (Matt. 4:18-22; Mark 1:16-20)

  • Read 5507 times
Read more...

Don't
Hesitate To
Contact Us

 

145 Pine Haven Shores Road
Suite 2293
Shelburne, VT 05482

Feel free to email us. We would be happy to answer any questions you might have.


Copyright © 2021 Amvona